Game 2

In the age of hyperanalysis and short attention spans, there has been much a) hand-wringing, and b) salivating, depending on which side of the "Good vs. Evil" debate you fall,  over the Miami Heat's victory in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. I still say Thunder in 6. Here's what had to happen for Miami to win last game:

They had to: 

1. Jump out to an 18-2 lead. 

2. Have Durant and Westbrook get into early foul trouble and sit for large portions of the first quarter. 

3. Have Thabo Sefolosha miss multiple dunks. 

4. Have Durant pick up his 5th foul with about 10 minutes left in the game, essentially making it 5-on-4 for Miami on offense. 

5. Have OKC miss an inordinate amount of FTs for the best FT-shooting team in the league. 

6. Have Westbrook and Harden (two of the best and most clutch free throw shooters in the league) miss crunch-time FTs. 

7. Have Battier bank in a 3 from 27 feet out. 

8. Have Lebron bank in a baseline jumper from 15. 

9. Shoot 47% for the game, hold OKC to 43%. 

With all that, it took a sequence where Lebron hacked KD across both arms, and then Westbrook got hacked going for what would have been his board, for Miami to hold on and win a game where they were up double digits with about 8 minutes left. I can't see all those breaks going Miami's way again. I do think Lebron will singlehandedly win a game for Miami, but I wouldn't be surprised if OKC takes Games 3 and 5 in Miami, then comes home to close it out.